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Thought Leadership
OUR VALUE COMES FROM AN ANALYTICAL UNDERSTANDING OF THE FORCES AT WORK IN FINANCIAL MARKETS
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Six variables that predict defaults
We discuss which variables can help us predict corporate defaults The current pandemic is triggering a stark growth in corporate...
May 1, 2024


9 facts about distress risk
We summarise all the findings of our articles on distress risk First, financial distress can be predicted by looking at a relatively...
Mar 10, 2024


When should you invest in distressed stocks?
We discuss the optimal timing of a strategy that invests in firms that are close to bankruptcy In a previous post, we provided evidence...
Feb 26, 2024


Is there alpha in distressed stocks? (U.S. evidence)
We investigate whether distressed stocks carry a premium after controlling for the exposure of the portfolio to common factors, such as...
Feb 26, 2024


Is there alpha in distressed stocks across the world?
We investigate the existence of a distress premium, controlling for common factors such as market beta, size and value, around the world....
Feb 26, 2024


How much is default risk captured by other factors?
Is there a distress risk factor? And how much of this factor is explained by other risk factors? In previous posts, we have discussed the...
Feb 26, 2024


Is there a systematic component to distress risk?
We investigate whether the systematic component of distress risk carries a premium Asset pricing theory states that those who bear...
Feb 26, 2024


Is there a jackpot in distressed equity?
Are distressed stocks more likely to generate returns above 100%? We have done a series of posts on the returns of distress stocks. We...
Feb 17, 2024
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